---
product_id: 8198278
title: "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science"
price: "€ 188.99"
currency: EUR
in_stock: true
reviews_count: 8
url: https://www.desertcart.it/products/8198278-probability-theory-the-logic-of-science
store_origin: IT
region: Italy
---

# Bayesian stats mastery Concept-driven clarity Rational logic foundation Probability Theory: The Logic of Science

**Price:** € 188.99
**Availability:** ✅ In Stock

## Summary

> 📈 Elevate your statistical IQ with the logic that shapes science!

## Quick Answers

- **What is this?** Probability Theory: The Logic of Science
- **How much does it cost?** € 188.99 with free shipping
- **Is it available?** Yes, in stock and ready to ship
- **Where can I buy it?** [www.desertcart.it](https://www.desertcart.it/products/8198278-probability-theory-the-logic-of-science)

## Best For

- Customers looking for quality international products

## Why This Product

- Free international shipping included
- Worldwide delivery with tracking
- 15-day hassle-free returns

## Key Features

- • **Concept-First Approach:** Dive deep into exhaustive explanations that make complex ideas accessible.
- • **Highly Rated & Respected:** Join thousands of professionals who rate it 4.7/5 for transforming their understanding.
- • **Bridges Theory & Practice:** See how Bayesian and frequentist stats converge and diverge with clarity.
- • **Master Bayesian Reasoning:** Unlock the power of probability as extended logic, not just numbers.
- • **Historical Insights Included:** Learn from the pioneers—Gauss, Laplace, Fisher—through rich historical context.

## Overview

Probability Theory: The Logic of Science by E.T. Jaynes is a seminal text that redefines statistics through a Bayesian lens, emphasizing conceptual clarity and rational reasoning. Praised for its articulate prose and deep insights, it bridges historical foundations with modern statistical practice, making it essential for professionals seeking a profound understanding of probability beyond formulas.

## Description

desertcart.com: Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: 9780521592710: Jaynes, E. T., Bretthorst, G. Larry: Books

Review: A masterpiece of mathematical exposition - I have rarely learned so much from one book. This book is somewhat unusual among mathematical texts in that it is heavy on prose and (compared to other texts) light on equations. However, don't get the idea that it is any less rigorous! It simply focuses on precisely what most math books neglect: exhaustive explanation of the concepts...and to very good effect. Jaynes (and his editor) are possibly the most articulate writers of mathematics I've ever read. If you can read equations like English, you may not appreciate this. The rest of us will. Summarizing the content: The book very exhaustively demonstrates how Bayesian statistical approaches subsume rather than compete with "orthodox" (sampling theory-derived) statistics. Importantly, it begins by deriving the sum and product rules (which in other texts are typically presented as axioms) from "common sense" considerations. In other words, what is usually treated as "given" in other statistics texts is shown to, in fact, depend on even more fundamental (and, thus, indisputable) considerations of what constitutes rational plausible reasoning. This places the whole endeavor of statistics on firmer ground than any other text I've seen. The book is worth buying for the first few chapters alone, but it just gets better from there. Jaynes goes on to link Bayes rule to information-theoretic considerations and build up probability as an extended form of logic (as the title implies). In some cases this yields a new and deeper understanding of "orthodox statistical practice." In others it exposes (and explains) the absurdities of strictly frequentist approaches. Again, I have rarely learned so much from one book. One caveat: It does not at all require a statistics background, but, obviously, some of Jaynes (mildly polemical) discourse will, of course, be lost on you without it.
Review: The greatest book ever written on Statistics! - To me, this is the greatest book ever written on Statistics. I have studied statistics for the past 22 years and I have been teaching statistics for the past 10 years. I only got to know this book a couple of years ago. Many many conceptual issues that I have had in Statistics have been clarified from a careful study of this book. Jaynes had a deep understanding not only of Bayesian Statistics but also of Frequentist Statistics. Everything that he says about Frequentist "Orthodox" Statistics is correct (although often it took me many months to fully understand what he is saying). The ideas and messages of this book significantly differ from what is taught in pretty much all other statistics books. Here is one example, the Gaussian distribution is heavily used in statistical analysis. Most textbooks are pretty much apologetic about this overuse of the Gaussian distribution and struggle to suggest alternative methods. Jaynes, on the other hand, says (in Chapter 7) that the range of validity for the application of the Gaussian distribution in data analysis is actually "far wider that is usually supposed". A major highlight of the book is the focus on history. Very careful historical accounts are presented as to how the greats of the field (like Gauss, Laplace, Cox, Fisher etc) approached data analysis. This stuff again cannot be found in any other book in the field. I have been using this book heavily in pretty much anything I teach these days and, as a consequence, teaching statistics has been a much more pleasurable experience than before. Jaynes apparently originally wanted to write a sequel to this book focussing on more advanced applications. It is a pity that he passed away before he could write the sequel. I recommend readers to the outstanding books by MacKay and by von der Linden-Dose-von Toussaint for numerous interesting and nontrivial applications of Probability Theory (Bayesian Statistics) to Data Problems. I would also like to recommend (as sequels to reading Jaynes) the books of David Blower which clarify and complement the ideas of Jaynes. For readers interested in learning more about the various issues, pitfalls and shortcomings of Frequentist "Orthodox" statistics, I would like to recommend the collected works of Dev Basu.

## Technical Specifications

| Specification | Value |
|---------------|-------|
| Best Sellers Rank | #164,761 in Books ( See Top 100 in Books ) #16 in Statistics (Books) #37 in Mathematical Physics (Books) #108 in Probability & Statistics (Books) |
| Customer Reviews | 4.7 4.7 out of 5 stars (145) |
| Dimensions  | 7.25 x 1.5 x 10.25 inches |
| Edition  | Annotated |
| ISBN-10  | 0521592712 |
| ISBN-13  | 978-0521592710 |
| Item Weight  | 3.66 pounds |
| Language  | English |
| Print length  | 753 pages |
| Publication date  | June 9, 2003 |
| Publisher  | Cambridge University Press |

## Images

![Probability Theory: The Logic of Science - Image 1](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/61WUudVhSkL.jpg)

## Customer Reviews

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ A masterpiece of mathematical exposition
*by A***. on December 5, 2009*

I have rarely learned so much from one book. This book is somewhat unusual among mathematical texts in that it is heavy on prose and (compared to other texts) light on equations. However, don't get the idea that it is any less rigorous! It simply focuses on precisely what most math books neglect: exhaustive explanation of the concepts...and to very good effect. Jaynes (and his editor) are possibly the most articulate writers of mathematics I've ever read. If you can read equations like English, you may not appreciate this. The rest of us will. Summarizing the content: The book very exhaustively demonstrates how Bayesian statistical approaches subsume rather than compete with "orthodox" (sampling theory-derived) statistics. Importantly, it begins by deriving the sum and product rules (which in other texts are typically presented as axioms) from "common sense" considerations. In other words, what is usually treated as "given" in other statistics texts is shown to, in fact, depend on even more fundamental (and, thus, indisputable) considerations of what constitutes rational plausible reasoning. This places the whole endeavor of statistics on firmer ground than any other text I've seen. The book is worth buying for the first few chapters alone, but it just gets better from there. Jaynes goes on to link Bayes rule to information-theoretic considerations and build up probability as an extended form of logic (as the title implies). In some cases this yields a new and deeper understanding of "orthodox statistical practice." In others it exposes (and explains) the absurdities of strictly frequentist approaches. Again, I have rarely learned so much from one book. One caveat: It does not at all require a statistics background, but, obviously, some of Jaynes (mildly polemical) discourse will, of course, be lost on you without it.

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ The greatest book ever written on Statistics!
*by K***R on February 20, 2023*

To me, this is the greatest book ever written on Statistics. I have studied statistics for the past 22 years and I have been teaching statistics for the past 10 years. I only got to know this book a couple of years ago. Many many conceptual issues that I have had in Statistics have been clarified from a careful study of this book. Jaynes had a deep understanding not only of Bayesian Statistics but also of Frequentist Statistics. Everything that he says about Frequentist "Orthodox" Statistics is correct (although often it took me many months to fully understand what he is saying). The ideas and messages of this book significantly differ from what is taught in pretty much all other statistics books. Here is one example, the Gaussian distribution is heavily used in statistical analysis. Most textbooks are pretty much apologetic about this overuse of the Gaussian distribution and struggle to suggest alternative methods. Jaynes, on the other hand, says (in Chapter 7) that the range of validity for the application of the Gaussian distribution in data analysis is actually "far wider that is usually supposed". A major highlight of the book is the focus on history. Very careful historical accounts are presented as to how the greats of the field (like Gauss, Laplace, Cox, Fisher etc) approached data analysis. This stuff again cannot be found in any other book in the field. I have been using this book heavily in pretty much anything I teach these days and, as a consequence, teaching statistics has been a much more pleasurable experience than before. Jaynes apparently originally wanted to write a sequel to this book focussing on more advanced applications. It is a pity that he passed away before he could write the sequel. I recommend readers to the outstanding books by MacKay and by von der Linden-Dose-von Toussaint for numerous interesting and nontrivial applications of Probability Theory (Bayesian Statistics) to Data Problems. I would also like to recommend (as sequels to reading Jaynes) the books of David Blower which clarify and complement the ideas of Jaynes. For readers interested in learning more about the various issues, pitfalls and shortcomings of Frequentist "Orthodox" statistics, I would like to recommend the collected works of Dev Basu.

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Nice presentation of the nuances of probability
*by C***E on August 31, 2013*

I haven't finished reading this book yet, but the chapters I read so far gave me so much understanding of issues that are either obscure or absent in other probability and statistics books - but are of great practical importance - that I decided recommend it here. It is true Jaynes' style is caustic against positions that are contrary to his owns. But he is very convincing on the reasons he gives to pinpoint the big holes in the so called "orthodox" school of probability and statistics. Besides, the book is very lengthy, without being prolix, on its explanations, making it very pedagogical. Constrasting with that, nevertheless, Jaynes sometimes proposes examples that I believe only a mathematician or physicist with specific knowledge of the subject mentioned by the author will be able to follow. But those parts do not impact understanding of the main ideas. It must be noted also that "Probaility theory: the logic of science" is mainly a theory book. Its goal is to present probability as an extension of deductive logic. It only brings a small number of exercises. The best thing about this book, at least for me, is having a style that really makes me look forward reading the next page, something very rare for a technical book. In fact, the only other book I came across that had that virtue was the "Feynman Lectures on Physics".

## Frequently Bought Together

- Probability Theory: The Logic of Science
- Data Analysis: A Bayesian Tutorial
- Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis

---

## Why Shop on Desertcart?

- 🛒 **Trusted by 1.3+ Million Shoppers** — Serving international shoppers since 2016
- 🌍 **Shop Globally** — Access 737+ million products across 21 categories
- 💰 **No Hidden Fees** — All customs, duties, and taxes included in the price
- 🔄 **15-Day Free Returns** — Hassle-free returns (30 days for PRO members)
- 🔒 **Secure Payments** — Trusted payment options with buyer protection
- ⭐ **TrustPilot Rated 4.5/5** — Based on 8,000+ happy customer reviews

**Shop now:** [https://www.desertcart.it/products/8198278-probability-theory-the-logic-of-science](https://www.desertcart.it/products/8198278-probability-theory-the-logic-of-science)

---

*Product available on Desertcart Italy*
*Store origin: IT*
*Last updated: 2026-03-20*